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By 2606, The Us Diet Volition Live On 100 Portion Sugar

The U.S.A. diet has changed dramatically inwards the final 200 years.  Many of these changes stalk from a unmarried factor: the industrialization in addition to commercialization of the American nutrient system.  We've outsourced close of our nutrient preparation, placing it into the hands of professionals whose interests aren't ever good aligned amongst ours.

It's difficult to appreciate simply how much things receive got changed, because none of us were live on 200 years ago.  To aid illustrate some of these changes, I've been collecting statistics on U.S.A. diet trends.  Since saccharide is the close refined nutrient nosotros consume inwards quantity, in addition to it's a practiced mark of processed nutrient consumption, naturally I wanted to teach my hands on saccharide intake statistics-- but company numbers going dorsum to the early on 19th century are difficult to come upwardly by!  Of all the diet-related books I've read, I've never seen a graph of year-by-year saccharide intake going dorsum to a greater extent than than 100 years.

Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 gentleman past times the cite of Jeremy Landen in addition to I eventually tracked downwards some outstanding statistics from quondam U.S.A. Department of Commerce reports in addition to the USDA: continuous yearly sweetener sales from 1822 to 2005, which receive got appeared inwards 2 of my talks but I receive got never seen graphed anywhere else*.  These numbers stand upwardly for added sweeteners such every bit cane sugar, high-fructose corn syrup in addition to maple syrup, but non naturally occurring sugars inwards fruit in addition to vegetables.  Behold:



It's a remarkably forthwith line, increasing steadily from 6.3 pounds per mortal per yr inwards 1822 to a maximum of 107.7 lb/person/year inwards 1999.  Wrap your encephalon closed to this: inwards 1822, nosotros ate the amount of added saccharide inwards 1 12 ounce tin of soda every v days, spell today nosotros consume that much saccharide every 7 hours.  The increase is then steady I was able to tally a draw of piece of job to it rather good (R2 = 0.95):


And using math, I tin peer into the future**.  If electrical flow trends continue, past times 2606 the U.S.A. diet volition live on 100 pct sugar!



* The Department of Commerce in addition to USDA study production, non consumption.  To teach far at a reasonable gauge of consumption, I adjusted the whole information fix for post-production losses using the USDA's electrical flow loss gauge of 28.8%. If nosotros assume that less saccharide went to waste matter inwards the 1800s because it was a to a greater extent than expensive commodity, this gauge may slightly underestimate saccharide intake during that fourth dimension period. 

** Assuming electrical flow average U.S.A. unloose energy intake of 2,250 kcal/day, every bit determined past times U.S.A. Centers for Disease Control NHANES surveys.
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